A proper definition would probably (hah) use the [[Kolmogorov axioms]]. Intuition: probability is "chance". However: something like 50% is not exact. If something has the probability 50% we don't expect it to happen exactly 50 times out of 100 tries. Rather, we expect $$\lim_{n \rightarrow \infty} \mathrm{N}(\mathrm{heads}) = 50\% \cdot \mathrm{N}(n \ \mathrm{throws})$$ # Some rules $$P(S) = 1$$ $$P(\phi) = 0$$ $$P(A') = 1 - P(A)$$ $$P(A_1 \cup A_2 \cup ...) = P(A_1) + P(A_2) + ...$$ $$P(A \cup B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A \cap B)$$ $$P(A \cup B \cup C) = P(A) + P(B) + P(C) - P(A \cap B) - P(B \cap C) - P(A \cap C) + P(A \cap B \cap C)$$